Michaela Whitbourn in the Sydney Morning Herald
Victoria’s Chief Health Officer, Professor Brett Sutton, said the state would have faced 650 deaths per day at its peak if it had not introduced tough measures to curb the spread of the virus.
Modelling done by the University of Melbourne, Monash University and the Victorian Health Department suggested the state would have recorded 58,000 infections per day at its peak if action had not been taken to flatten the curve, Professor Sutton said on Monday.
Victoria’s Chief Health Officer Brett Sutton said the state “changed the future” by heeding warnings in modelling. He said the modelling “uses assumptions based on the experience of countries overseas as well as data from Australia to inform what might have occurred had we only had a case isolation and contact [tracing] process in place without social distancing measures”.
“We saw this modelling and we changed the future two months ago by virtue of what we saw. We changed the assumptions in the modelling by virtue of the measures that have been many place for weeks at different levels,” he said.
